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Ceasefire(14)US × Iran(26)

Strait of Hormuz(19)

Negotiations(4)

Israel × Iran(16)

Leadership & Regime(14)

Military Action(14)

All Ceasefire US × Iran Strait of Hormuz Peace Deal Negotiations Oil Israel × Iran Lebanon Leadership & Regime Nuclear Military Action Houthis

U

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?October 1512.5%▼1pp October 3122.5%▼1pp December 3150.4%▼0.6ppVol $505.8k

W

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes14.5%▼1ppNo85.5%Vol $258.3k

U

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?October 798.3%▲1.9pp October 1587.5%▼1pp October 3172.5%Vol $175.0k

B

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?December 3115.5%▼1pp October 315.5%Vol $113.6k

I

Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Yes8.5%▲4ppNo91.5%Vol $111.1k

I

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?October 3183.5%▼1pp October 1593.5%December 3159.5%▼3.5ppVol $93.6k

I

Iran leadership change by...?October 311.4%▲0.1pp December 3110.5%November 306.5%▲1ppVol $91.9k

I

Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)October 314.5%December 3121.5%▲2ppVol $87.3k

K

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?December 315.5%▼1ppVol $75.8k

C

Crude Oil all time high by...?December 319.5%Vol $58.0k

H

Houthis enter Aden by...?October 3113%▲3.5pp December 3127.5%▲2ppVol $49.0k

I

Iran leader end of 2026?Mojtaba Khamenei88%▲0.1pp No Head of State5.6%▲1pp Reza Pahlavi2.6%▼0.2ppVol $42.6k

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