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Fed Rates(27)Inflation(27)

Macro Indicators(53)

Global Rates(22)

Taxes & Fiscal(4)

Economic Policy(17)

All Fed Rates Inflation Macro Indicators GDP Global Rates Labor Treasuries Housing Taxes & Fiscal Trade War Economic Policy

F

Fed Decision in October?No change82.5%▲5pp 25 bps increase16.5%▼5ppVol $979.6k

E

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026No change93%▲0.5pp 25 bps increase7.5%▲0.5ppVol $21.1k

B

Bank of England decision in November?25 bps increase92%▲7.5pp No change6.5%▼7ppVol $18.2k

L

Largest Company end of October 2026?NVIDIA95.7%Apple3.9%▼0.2ppVol $17.4k

U

US recession by end of 2026?Yes7%▼0.5ppNo93%Vol $15.2k

A

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes76.5%▼1ppNo23.5%Vol $13.3k

H

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?0 (0 bps)95.8%▼0.1pp 1 (25 bps)1.7%▲0.1ppVol $12.2k

F

Fed rate cut by...?December 2026 Meeting3.3%▼0.9pp March 2027 Meeting20%▼2pp July 2027 Meeting50%▼3.5ppVol $8,105

3

3rd Largest Company end of October?Alphabet85%▲16.5pp Microsoft14.5%▼9.5ppVol $7,700

H

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?5.70%79%▼6.5pp 5.80%60.8%▼5.1pp 6.00%26.7%Vol $5,575

W

Which companies will the US take a stake in?Nvidia10.5%▼3.5pp Boeing8.5%▼2pp Lockheed Martin8%▼4ppVol $5,161

C

Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM)0.0 to 0.1%46.5%▲17.5pp 0.2 to 0.3%31%▼0.5pp 0.6%+12.7%▲9.2ppVol $4,865

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