Markets

Foreign Policy

(113)

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes2.3%No97.6%Vol $48.3k

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes3.5%▲0.1ppNo96.4%Vol $2,138

US strike on Mexico by...?December 313.5%▼2ppVol $1,295

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes4.4%▼0.6ppNo95.6%Vol $1,025

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?India6.5%▼1.5pp Mexico6%▼1.5pp Canada7.5%Vol $614

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?December 31, 202613%▲0.5ppVol $341

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?December 317.2%▼1.7ppVol $302

Ukraine election held by...?December 31, 20264.1%▲2.6ppVol $221

Ukraine election called by...?December 31, 20265.5%▼0.1ppVol $190

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?861.6%▼0.3pp 929.9%104.5%▲0.8ppVol $182

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?December 31, 20262.2%Vol $149

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