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Fed Rates

Inflation(27)

Macro Indicators(53)

Global Rates(22)

Taxes & Fiscal(4)

Economic Policy(17)

All Fed Rates Inflation Macro Indicators GDP Global Rates Labor Treasuries Housing Taxes & Fiscal Trade War Economic Policy

F

Fed Decision in October?No change82.5%▲4pp 25 bps increase16.5%▼4ppVol $907.1k

A

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes76.5%▼1ppNo23.5%Vol $13.3k

H

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?0 (0 bps)95.8%1 (25 bps)1.7%▲0.1ppVol $13.1k

F

Fed rate cut by...?December 2026 Meeting3.3%▼0.9pp March 2027 Meeting20%▼2pp July 2027 Meeting50%▼3.5ppVol $8,105

H

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?5.70%78.5%▼15pp 5.80%59.8%▲5pp 6.00%26.7%▼0.1ppVol $5,513

H

How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?5.10%81%▼8.5pp 5.25%36.5%▼11.5ppVol $3,174

W

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?↓ 3.0%1.2%▼0.5pp ↓ 2.75%2.7%↓ 2.5%1.7%Vol $1,792

H

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?Below 3.8%1.8%▲0.8pp Below 4.1%2.2%▼1.1pp Below 3.6%1.4%▲0.1ppVol $1,256

H

How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?Below 5.15%26.5%▼3pp Below 5.10%18%▼6.5pp Below 5.20%31.5%▲0.5ppVol $1,224

H

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?5.60%11.5%▲4pp 5.55%17.5%▼5pp 5.35%64%▼27ppVol $1,215

H

How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in October?Below 4.70%20.5%▲7pp Below 4.80%20%▼4.5pp Below 4.83%23%▼1.5ppVol $1,085

F

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)Hike–Pause–Hike59.5%▲0.5pp Hike–Pause–Pause21.5%Hike–Hike–Hike12%▼2.5ppVol $650

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