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Economic Policy

Inflation(27)

Macro Indicators(53)

Global Rates(22)

Taxes & Fiscal(4)

Economic Policy(17)

All Fed Rates Inflation Macro Indicators GDP Global Rates Labor Treasuries Housing Taxes & Fiscal Trade War Economic Policy

F

Fed Decision in October?No change82.5%▲4pp 25 bps increase16.5%▼4ppVol $907.1k

U

US recession by end of 2026?Yes7%▼0.5ppNo93%Vol $15.2k

A

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes76.5%▼1ppNo23.5%Vol $13.3k

H

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?0 (0 bps)95.8%1 (25 bps)1.7%▲0.1ppVol $13.1k

F

Fed rate cut by...?December 2026 Meeting3.3%▼0.9pp March 2027 Meeting20%▼2pp July 2027 Meeting50%▼3.5ppVol $8,105

R

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?25 bps increase60.5%▲3.5pp No change33%▼3.5pp 50+ bps increase5.6%▲1.9ppVol $4,240

S

Swiss National Bank decision in December?No Change77.5%▲3pp 25 bps increase15.5%▼7.5pp 50+ bps decrease2.5%▲0.3ppVol $2,690

B

Bank of Japan Decision in October?No change93.5%▲5pp 25 bps increase5%▼6.5ppVol $1,938

U

US GDP growth in Q3 2026?≥3.0%72.5%▲6.5pp 2.5–3.0%15%▲1.5pp 2.0–2.5%10%Vol $1,805

W

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?↓ 3.0%1.2%▼0.5pp ↓ 2.75%2.7%↓ 2.5%1.7%Vol $1,792

R

Reserve Bank of India decision in October25 bps increase80.5%▲9pp No Change13.9%▲3pp 50+ bps increase4.9%▼9.4ppVol $908

F

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)Hike–Pause–Hike59.5%▲0.5pp Hike–Pause–Pause21.5%Hike–Hike–Hike12%▼2.5ppVol $650

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