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Ceasefire

Strait of Hormuz(19)

Negotiations(4)

Israel × Iran(16)

Leadership & Regime(14)

Military Action(14)

All Ceasefire US × Iran Strait of Hormuz Peace Deal Negotiations Oil Israel × Iran Lebanon Leadership & Regime Nuclear Military Action Houthis

K

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?December 315.5%▼1ppVol $75.8k

W

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?Mohammed bin Salman5.6%▲1.8pp Donald Trump4.7%▲1.3pp Elon Musk2.6%▼0.6ppVol $29.2k

N

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?October 31, 202625%▲5.5pp December 31, 202651.5%▲5pp November 30, 202634%Vol $26.1k

U

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?October 312.1%▼0.6pp December 3112.5%November 308.5%Vol $20.0k

I

Iran full airspace closure by...?October 315%▲1pp December 3121.5%▲1.5ppVol $7,420

I

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?October 311.2%▼1.4pp December 317.5%Vol $4,804

W

Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?No Meeting by December 3148.5%▼3.5pp Qatar20.4%▼4.4pp Pakistan5.2%Vol $4,799

I

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?June 30, 202728.5%▲22.5pp December 31, 202735%▲17pp March 31, 202712.5%▼2.5ppVol $2,930

U

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?December 314.5%▼1ppVol $476

W

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?Yes14%▼0.5ppNo86%Vol $33.2k

T

Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?December 312.4%Vol $200.4k

W

Will Iran target an Arab country by...?All but decided · awaiting settlementSeptember 3099.9%October 31100%▲24.5pp September 150%▼8.9ppVol $3,000

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