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Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?SpaceX60.5%Anthropic38.3%OpenAI0.2%$20.7k Vol12月31日 截止Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?December 314.5%September 302%June 300%$11.2k Vol12月31日 截止Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?50.3%169.5%32%$5.9k Vol12月31日 截止SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14August 3112.5%Chopsticks catch Starship?21.5%September 3093.6%$3.6k Vol10月31日 截止Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?December 31, 20264%June 30, 202754%December 31, 202768%$1.4k Vol12月31日 截止Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?↑4k84%↑3k93.5%↑10k5.7%$1.3k Vol12月31日 截止10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?0.7%市场概率$1.1k Vol12月31日 截止How many 6.5 or above earthquakes August 10 - August 16?395.9%20%43.4%$934 Vol8月17日 截止Precipitation in Hong Kong in August?<425mm35%700mm+25.5%475-500mm18.7%$651 Vol9月1日 截止August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) (HIGHER STRIKES)1.42–1.45ºC31%1.34–1.37ºC15.5%1.30–1.33ºC11.5%$542 Vol9月1日 截止Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?October 31, 20269.5%December 31, 202622%$535 Vol12月31日 截止Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 32, 2026?<0.177.5%0.112.5%>0.10.4%$313 Vol8月21日 截止Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?7.1%市场概率$308 Vol12月31日 截止How many SpaceX launches in August 2026?<132.6%1539.5%16+3.3%$283 Vol8月31日 截止How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?8–100.5%17–1936.5%11–139.5%$283 Vol12月31日 截止New pandemic in 2026?5.5%市场概率$250 Vol12月31日 截止How many 6.5 or above earthquakes August 17 - August 23?042.5%50.8%135%$234 Vol8月24日 截止Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?9%市场概率$234 Vol12月31日 截止How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?<534.5%7-88.3%9-102.5%$199 Vol12月31日 截止Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?2750+72.5%2700+89%2650+96%$186 Vol8月31日 截止New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?5.4%市场概率$182 Vol12月31日 截止How many SpaceX launches in 2026?140-15944.4%120-1395%100-1191.4%$123 Vol12月31日 截止Natural Disaster in 2026?22.5%市场概率$117 Vol12月31日 截止How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?140-1698%60-7931%40–5910.5%$103 Vol9月1日 截止

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