August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) (HIGHER STRIKES)

$563 Vol截止 2026-09-01Science Global Temp Weather

1.42–1.45ºC31%1.34–1.37ºC16.5%<1.30ºC5%1.38–1.41ºC38%

走势加载中…

Outcomes6 个进行中

1.42–1.45ºC$332 Vol31%▼ 3.5%
1.34–1.37ºC$209 Vol16.5%▼ 16%
<1.30ºC$21 Vol5%▼ 18%
1.38–1.41ºC38%▲ 2.5%
>1.45ºC24.5%▼ 8.0%
1.30–1.33ºC11.5%▼ 15%

正在检测钱包…

结果跟随 Polymarket 裁决（模拟层）

This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2026 when it is released. An anomaly within a named bracket for August 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for August 2026 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for August 2026 is provided by NASA by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.