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Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?2.3%市场概率$9.4k Vol8月31日 截止Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?13%市场概率$369 Vol10月1日 截止US x China tariff agreement by August 31?2.9%市场概率$30 Vol8月31日 截止Imran Khan released from prison by December 31, 2026?9%市场概率$5 Vol12月31日 截止Will Trump announce an acquisition of part of the Chagos Islands before 2027? 8.5%市场概率$856 VolWill Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?6.5%市场概率$2.5k Vol1月1日 截止Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? 42.5%市场概率$9.2k Vol12月31日 截止US announces military base in Israel in 2026?14.5%市场概率$484 Vol12月31日 截止