跳到主要内容Fathom · 杠杆预测市场模拟盘｜1–10× 杠杆 · 实时镜像 Polymarket所有盘口
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?Anthropic37.8%SpaceX61.5%OpenAI0.2%
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14September 1567%August 3111%Chopsticks catch Starship?21.5%
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?September 30, 20266.5%June 30, 202731.5%February 28, 202722.5%
Elon Musk Net Worth on August 31?$600-$700B11.5%$800-$900B33.5%$1.10T+6.2%
How many SpaceX launches in August 2026?<132.7%1539.5%16+3.3%
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?<534.5%15-160.2%7-88.4%
Grok 5 released by...?December 3144.5%August 310.6%August 150%
SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?December 31, 202635.5%August 31, 20262.4%June 30, 202776%
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?5.5%市场概率
Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?13.2%市场概率
Richest person on December 31, 2026?Elon Musk97.7%Person I—%Person H—%
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?20.5%市场概率
Another Elon baby by December 31?17.5%市场概率
Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?December 31, 202760.5%December 31, 202611.5%Chopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by...?August 31, 202650%September 30, 202651%October 31, 202660.5%
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?94%市场概率
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by...?December 3113.5%June 300%SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?5.2%市场概率
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?73.5%市场概率
Elon Bull Run Parlay6.7%市场概率3rd richest person on December 31?Person B—%Person L—%Person D—%
AI data center in space by...?December 31, 202724.5%December 31, 20262.2%
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?14%市场概率
T-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026?6.5%市场概率Counter-Strike: STATE vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Playoffs
Match Winner
65.5%
