跳到主要内容Fathom · 杠杆预测市场模拟盘｜1–10× 杠杆 · 实时镜像 Polymarket所有盘口
Largest Company end of August?Tesla0%Broadcom0%Saudi Aramco0%
OpenAI IPO by...?August 31, 20260.2%December 31, 202620.5%September 30, 20261.8%Largest Company end of September?Amazon0.1%Apple7%SpaceX0%
What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?$2.5T+5.4%$1.75T–$2.0T21%$1.0T–$1.25T15.5%Largest Company end of December 2026?NVIDIA75.5%Amazon0.1%Tesla0.1%
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?DJI26%YMTC38.5%CATL54%
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?↑$3.0T34.5%↑$1.75T74.5%↓$800B8%
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?SpaceX60.5%Anthropic38.2%OpenAI0.2%
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap1.5T+42.8%No IPO by December 31, 20279.2%<500B1.1%
GPT-6 released by…?September 30, 202630.5%August 21, 20262.1%August 31, 20266%Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Xiaomi30%DeepSeek21.5%ByteDance22%
IPOs before 2027?SHEIN98.8%Anthropic79.5%OpenAI20.5%
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14August 3111.5%Chopsticks catch Starship?21.5%September 3093.5%OpenAI IPO Closing Market CapNo IPO by December 31, 202681%1.5T+3.8%750B–1T4.9%Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap$1.75–$2.0T16.5%$2.75–$3.0T6.6%$2.0–$2.25T16.5%3rd Largest Company end of August?Alphabet80.5%Microsoft3.5%NVIDIA1%2nd Largest Company end of August?Alphabet17.5%Apple81.5%NVIDIA1.4%Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)1.8T+67.5%No IPO by December 31, 20273.2%0.9–1.2T3.3%2nd Largest Company end of September?Alphabet38%Amazon0.1%NVIDIA7.5%
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?93%市场概率
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?September 30, 20266.7%June 30, 202731.5%February 28, 202722.5%
Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by December 31?↑$300B6.5%↑$250B24%↑$190B94.9%
Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?None by June 30, 202724.5%Netflix0.6%Paramount72%
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?PayPal48.5%Nebius Group5.1%MGM Resorts37.5%