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Fathom · 杠杆预测市场模拟盘|1–10× 杠杆 · 实时镜像 Polymarket
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24h 热门
总成交量
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最新
即将截止
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?
September 30
99.7%
December 31
98.7%
$18.8k Vol
12月31日 截止
Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
60%+
60.5%
65%+
26.5%
90%+
7.2%
$2.4k Vol
12月31日 截止
Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
60%+
54.5%
65%+
16%
55%+
86.4%
$1.9k Vol
12月31日 截止
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
60%+
26.5%
55%+
52.5%
50%+
83%
$1.9k Vol
12月31日 截止
Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+
72.5%
50%+
50.5%
60%+
15.5%
$1k Vol
12月31日 截止
Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
50%+
73.8%
70%+
7.5%
65%+
15%
$1k Vol
12月31日 截止
Next Grok Model (4.6+): Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
45%+
13%
40%+
32%
50%+
5.5%
$903 Vol
12月31日 截止
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
45%+
86%
40%+
91%
50%+
70.5%
$735 Vol
12月31日 截止
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?
↑ 1530
26.5%
↑ 1700
3.1%
↑ 1600
10%
$547 Vol
12月31日 截止
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?
October 31, 2026
8.5%
December 31, 2026
22%
$535 Vol
12月31日 截止
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
1520
13.5%
1550
6.5%
1540
8%
$312 Vol
9月30日 截止
OpenAI’s Astra Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
40%+
86.5%
50%+
42.5%
60%+
13.5%
$282 Vol
12月31日 截止
Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
60%+
11.5%
50%+
39.5%
55%+
28.5%
$237 Vol
12月31日 截止
Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
60%+
30%
55%+
42.5%
70%+
6.4%
$201 Vol
12月31日 截止
Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?
1600
13.4%
1560
43.5%
1580
23%
$87 Vol
12月31日 截止
Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?
1525
100%
1550
100%
1575
84.5%
$112.4k Vol
12月31日 截止
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2
Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
50%
3
Ethereum Up or Down - August 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
50.5%
4
Solana Up or Down - August 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
50.5%
5
ZCash Up or Down - August 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
50%
6
Dogecoin Up or Down - August 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
50%