跳到主要内容Fathom · 杠杆预测市场模拟盘|1–10× 杠杆 · 实时镜像 Polymarket所有盘口
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?September 301.9%December 314.5%June 300%
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14Chopsticks catch Starship?17%September 1572.5%August 3114%
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?50.3%169.5%32%
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?December 31, 20264%December 31, 202768%June 30, 202754%
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?December 31, 202621.5%October 31, 20268.5%
Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?96.9%市场概率
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?140-15945.8%<1000.9%120-1396.3%
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?December 31, 202719.5%December 31, 20265.5%
Human moon landing in 2026?0.8%市场概率
Chopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by...?September 30, 202653.5%October 31, 202660.5%August 31, 202652%
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?9%市场概率
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?December 31, 202734.5%December 31, 20266.5%December 31, 202836%