跳到主要内容Fathom · 杠杆预测市场模拟盘|1–10× 杠杆 · 实时镜像 Polymarket所有盘口
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?Anthropic36%SpaceX61.5%OpenAI0.2%
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14September 1567.5%August 3110.5%Chopsticks catch Starship?16.5%
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?September 30, 20266.5%June 30, 202731.5%February 28, 202722.5%
Elon Musk Net Worth on August 31?$600-$700B9%$800-$900B33.5%$1.10T+6.4%
Grok 5 released by...?December 3152.5%August 310.6%August 150%
SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?December 31, 202635.5%August 31, 20262.3%June 30, 202776%
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?5.4%市场概率
Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?December 31, 202611.5%December 31, 202760.5%
Richest person on December 31, 2026?Elon Musk97.7%Person Q—%Person F—%
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?20.5%市场概率
T-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026?6.5%市场概率
Chopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by...?August 31, 202649.5%October 31, 202660.5%September 30, 202652%
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?94.1%市场概率
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?73%市场概率
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?5.3%市场概率
2nd richest person on December 31?Person C—%Person I—%Person D—%
AI data center in space by...?December 31, 20262.2%December 31, 202724.5%
3rd richest person on December 31?Person K—%Person X—%Person Y—%
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?14%市场概率