跳到主要内容Fathom · 杠杆预测市场模拟盘｜1–10× 杠杆 · 实时镜像 Polymarket所有盘口
Largest Company end of August?Tesla0%Broadcom0%Saudi Aramco0%
OpenAI IPO by...?August 31, 20260.2%December 31, 202620.5%September 30, 20261.9%Largest Company end of September?Amazon0.1%SpaceX0%Apple6.5%Largest Company end of December 2026?NVIDIA75.5%Amazon0.1%Tesla0.1%
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?Anthropic36%SpaceX64%OpenAI0.2%
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap1.5T+40.4%No IPO by December 31, 20279.1%<500B0.9%
IPOs before 2027?SHEIN98.9%OpenAI19.5%Anthropic79.5%3rd Largest Company end of August?Alphabet81%Apple15.5%Microsoft3.5%2nd Largest Company end of September?Alphabet36%Amazon0.1%NVIDIA7.5%2nd Largest Company end of August?Alphabet17.5%Apple80.5%NVIDIA1.1%
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?PayPal48.5%MGM Resorts38.5%Nebius Group5.1%
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?66.5%市场概率
Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?JPMorgan4.7%Bank B—%Bank E—%
JIO Platforms IPO by...?September 3035.5%December 3143%August 319.3%
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?Earbuds/Headphones6.5%Computer (Laptop/Desktop)1.4%Necklace14%
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?29.5%市场概率Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?33.4%市场概率3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?Alphabet44%Company N50%Company I50%
Bloomberg IPO by...?December 31, 202616.8%March 31, 202717.5%December 31, 202746.5%
AI bubble burst by...?December 31, 202614.2%December 31, 20250%March 31, 20260%
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?September 3045%August 3115.2%June 300%
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?5.5%市场概率
Deepseek IPO by...?December 31, 202766%December 31, 20268%September 30, 202764.5%OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?$1.4T44.5%$800B89%$1.6T40%