跳到主要内容Fathom · 杠杆预测市场模拟盘|1–10× 杠杆 · 实时镜像 Polymarket所有盘口
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?Anthropic39.8%SpaceX61.5%OpenAI0.2%
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14September 1571.5%Chopsticks catch Starship?19%August 3110%
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?September 30, 20266.4%June 30, 202731.5%December 31, 202754.5%
Elon Musk Net Worth on August 31?$600-$700B8.5%$800-$900B33.5%$1.10T+6.4%
Grok 5 released by...?August 310.7%December 3165.5%August 150%
SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?December 31, 202635.5%August 31, 20262.3%June 30, 202776%
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?5.4%市场概率
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?13.5%市场概率
Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?December 31, 202611.5%December 31, 202760.5%
Richest person on December 31, 2026?Elon Musk97.7%Person C—%Person F—%
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?20.5%市场概率
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?4.6%市场概率
2nd richest person on December 31?Person A—%Person C—%Person B—%
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?73%市场概率
T-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026?6.5%市场概率
3rd richest person on December 31?Person P—%Person F—%Person H—%
AI data center in space by...?December 31, 202724.5%December 31, 20262.2%
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?93.9%市场概率
Chopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by...?August 31, 202650%September 30, 202651.5%October 31, 202660.5%2
Bitcoin above ___ on August 17, 12AM ET?64,400
50%