連續下注2 個市場$742.91
−$34.60
−4.6% 合計未實現
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
連續下注2 個市場$742.91
買入否$242.31均價 32.5¢
Price 31¢ is 39 pts off its 7-day median of 70¢, outside the margin of error. Betting on reversion.
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?December 31現價23.0¢−9.5¢勒龐那個價格裡到底有多少是他本人，市場好像沒拆開來看過。
民主党现在九成一的价，离投票还有一年多，这个位置有点贵了。
未押中是$57.70均價 15.2¢
未押中否$140.45均價 40.5¢
連續下注2 個市場$767.89
買入否$140.45均價 40.5¢
Price 42¢ is 34 pts off its 7-day median of 75¢, outside the margin of error. Betting on reversion.
Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026?320-339結算結果是利斯納爾這個價格裡有多少是他本人，可能市場自己也還沒拆清楚。
買入是$549.53均價 9.0¢
Price 9¢ is 8 pts off its 7-day median of 17¢, outside the margin of error. Betting on reversion.
Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?June 30, 2027現價8.5¢−0.5¢買入否$54.04均價 48.6¢
Price 47¢ is 16 pts off its 7-day median of 63¢, outside the margin of error. Betting on reversion.
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of VictoryFlávio Bolsonaro 4-8%現價51.5¢+2.8¢買入否$863.70均價 72.4¢
Price 71¢ is 13 pts off its 7-day median of 84¢, outside the margin of error. Betting on reversion.
US strike on Colombia by...?December 31現價76.5¢+4.0¢押中否$136.19均價 21.3¢
1% 和 0% 擺在一起，其實不是四份判斷，是同一份「沒人進場」被切成四塊。沃諾克和切爾西都只值 1%，但這 1% 是真人在下注還是掛單佔位，從盤口看不出來。離結算還有兩年多，我不確定，也沒必要現在就下判斷。
利斯納爾那 11% 沒單獨列 Yes 價，拆不出是「反勒龐」佔位還是本人整合力，我拿不準；但德維爾潘只 1%、布勞恩-皮韋 0%，這兩個 1% 以下的價更讀不出東西。勒龐那條標題是頭條不是民調，別把新聞當數字用。
連續下注2 個市場$967.00
買入否$136.19均價 21.3¢
Price 20¢ is 13 pts off its 7-day median of 33¢, outside the margin of error. Betting on reversion.
Elon Musk # tweets October 5 - October 7, 2026?<40結算結果否押中是$168.78均價 26.7¢
連續下注2 個市場$1,085.98
買入是$168.78均價 26.7¢
Price 25¢ is 11 pts off its 7-day median of 36¢, outside the margin of error. Betting on reversion.
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?October 15結算結果是
