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HHow many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?075.5%▼6.5pp117.5%▲3pp25.5%▲1.5pp成交 $2.4萬

OOpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?December 31, 202615.5%▲2ppDecember 31, 202753.5%▼0.5pp1 人押注成交 $3,841

FFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?September 30, 202733%▼4ppJune 30, 202713.5%▼21ppDecember 31, 202766.5%成交 $3,736

SSkin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?March 31, 202748.5%▼29ppJune 30, 2027?52.5%▼23.5pp成交 $2,403

WWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?No solution by Dec 31, 202732.5%▼1.5ppHodge Conjecture30.5%Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer24.5%▲4.5pp成交 $1,262

AAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?December 31, 202764.5%▼2.5ppDecember 31, 202624.5%▲6pp成交 $1,099

SSpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?Chopsticks catch Starship?28%▼1ppSuccessful splash down?62.5%▲26ppChopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?47.5%▼3pp成交 $911

WWhich math problems will AI solve in 2026?Beal's Conjecture13%▼4.5ppHadamard Matrix Conjecture19.5%▼4ppRamsey Number R(5,5)18%▲0.5pp成交 $612

UU.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?是4.5%否95.5%成交 $97

FFDA approves Retatrutide this year?是2.7%▼0.2pp否97.3%成交 $95

AAnthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?December 31, 202742%▲1.5ppDecember 31, 202615.5%▲1pp成交 $66

SSpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?是23.5%▼3pp否76.5%成交 $47