市場

聯準會利率

FFed Decision in October?No change83.5%▼1pp25 bps increase15.5%10 人押注成交 $61.3萬

HHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?0 (0 bps)95.5%1 (25 bps)1.8%成交 $3.3萬

AAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?是77.5%否22.5%3 人押注成交 $5,976

HHow high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?5.10%88%▲0.3pp5.25%38.5%▼2.5pp成交 $5,427

WWhat will Fed Rate hit before 2027?↓ 2.75%2.5%▲0.1pp↓ 3.0%2.7%▲2pp↑ 5.5%2.5%▼0.3pp成交 $4,917

HHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?6.00%19%▼5pp5.90%29.5%▼1.5pp5.70%78.5%▼2pp成交 $3,371

HHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go in October?5.73%23.5%▼28pp5.80%30.5%▼14pp5.76%31%▲4pp成交 $3,018

HHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?Below 4.95%5.5%▼2.5ppBelow 5.05%8%▼1ppBelow 5.20%21.5%成交 $1,582

HHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?5.45%32%5.50%23.5%▼9.5pp5.41%31.5%▼1.5pp成交 $1,544

FFed decisions (Sep–Dec)Hike–Pause–Hike66.5%Hike–Pause–Pause20.5%▼1ppHike–Hike–Hike8.5%成交 $1,010

HHow high will 5-year Treasury yield go in October?5.20%37%▼18.5pp5.30%19%▼4.5pp5.25%33.5%▼2.5pp成交 $918

HHow high will 2-year Treasury yield go before 2027?5.50%5.5%▼4pp4.90%54.5%▼4.5pp5.40%9.5%▲0.5pp成交 $742