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FFed Decision in October?No change83.5%▼1pp25 bps increase15.5%10 人押注成交 $61.3萬

HHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?0 (0 bps)95.5%1 (25 bps)1.8%成交 $3.3萬

UUS recession by end of 2026?是6.5%否93.5%成交 $6,727

AAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?是77.5%否22.5%3 人押注成交 $5,976

WWhat will Fed Rate hit before 2027?↓ 2.75%2.5%▲0.1pp↓ 3.0%2.7%▲2pp↑ 5.5%2.5%▼0.3pp成交 $4,917

FFed decisions (Sep–Dec)Hike–Pause–Hike66.5%Hike–Pause–Pause20.5%▼1ppHike–Hike–Hike8.5%成交 $1,010

BBank of Japan Decision in October?No change95.5%▲0.7pp25 bps increase4%▼0.2pp成交 $674

UUS GDP growth in Q3 2026?≥3.0%67.5%2.5–3.0%15.5%▼0.5pp2.0–2.5%9%▼1.5pp成交 $570

GGermany GDP growth in Q3 2026?1.3%+45.5%▼0.5pp1.0-1.2%41.5%0.7-0.9%8.5%▼3pp成交 $457

FFed rate cut by...?January 2027 Meeting5.5%December 2026 Meeting2.6%▼0.1ppMarch 2027 Meeting16%▼1pp成交 $363

EEurozone GDP growth in Q3 20260.8-1.1%56.5%▼4pp1.2-1.5%27.1%▲0.7pp0.4-0.7%10.6%▼0.4pp成交 $208

SSwiss National Bank decision in December?No Change85.5%▲1pp25 bps increase15%▲0.5pp成交 $111