市場

國會

WWhich party will win the Senate in 2026?Democratic Party62.5%Republican Party36.5%▲1pp成交 $8.3萬

OOhio enacts data center moratorium by...?December 31, 20264.5%▼1ppJune 30, 202714.5%December 31, 202719.5%成交 $1.4萬

WWhich Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?Mike Lee1.7%▼6.8ppRuben Gallego6.1%▼2.3ppThom Tillis9.5%▲3pp成交 $7,031

HHow many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?10-1295.2%▼0.8pp13-152.9%▲1.1pp成交 $819

RRepublican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?≤4738.5%4816%▼1.5pp4913%▼0.5pp成交 $797

WWhich bills will become law in 2026?AI-chip export licensing22.5%▼0.5ppFISA Section 702 reauthorization12%Film/TV production expensing15.7%▼29pp成交 $794

MMike Johnson out as Speaker by...?October 31, 20265%▼7.5ppDecember 31, 202610.5%▼0.5pp成交 $572

22026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of VictoryDemocrats 8-10%28.5%▼1ppDemocrats 10-12%22.5%Democrats 6-8%17.5%成交 $500

AAnother US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?Shutdown & Democratic Party90.8%▼0.2ppShutdown & Republican Party9.6%▲0.5pp成交 $454

BBlue tsunami in 2026?是44.5%▲1.5pp否55.5%成交 $399

BBlue wave in 2026?是86.5%▲1pp否13.5%成交 $219

RRepublicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?是1.8%▲0.3pp否98.1%成交 $171