How low will 2-year Treasury yield get in November?
$7,420 成交額12月1日 結算
盤口機率
Below 4.44%
$785 成交額
5.4%▲0.2pp
Below 4.41%
$1,151 成交額
4.7%▲0.6pp
Below 4.38%
$1,218 成交額
4.3%▼1.7pp
Below 4.26%
$439 成交額
4%▲2.2pp
Below 4.32%
$909 成交額
3.5%▲1.7pp
Below 4.22%
$409 成交額
3.5%▲0.1pp
Below 4.18%
$718 成交額
3.5%▼0.7pp
Below 4.35%
$1,075 成交額
3.3%▲1.8pp
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 2-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 3, 2026 and November 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 2-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for the last business day of November 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for the last business day of November 2026 by December 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "2 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).