How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in November?
$1.2萬 成交額12月1日 結算
盤口機率
Below 4.57%
$446 成交額
5.1%▲2.6pp
Below 4.61%
$3,089 成交額
5%▲2.6pp
Below 4.73%
$1,327 成交額
3.7%▲0.4pp
Below 4.79%
$1,284 成交額
3.4%▲0.7pp
Below 4.70%
$858 成交額
2.9%▲0.7pp
Below 4.76%
$868 成交額
2.8%▼0.3pp
Below 4.82%
$1,932 成交額
2.5%▼3.4pp
Below 4.67%
$1,669 成交額
2.4%▲1.1pp
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 3, 2026 and November 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for the last business day of November 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for the last business day of November 2026 by December 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).