How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in November?
$1.3萬 成交額12月1日 結算
盤口機率
5.17%
$945 成交額
76%▲17pp
5.21%
$1,350 成交額
56%▲14pp
5.25%
$1,230 成交額
42%▲12.8pp
5.29%
$1,377 成交額
20%▲3.9pp
5.33%
$2,039 成交額
13%▲7.7pp
5.38%
$914 成交額
5.4%▲1.1pp
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 3, 2026 and November 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for the last business day of November 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for the last business day of November 2026 by December 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).