How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Vol. $ 289,1 milResolução em 31 de dez.
MercadoProbabilidade
Below 5.25%
Vol. $ 12 mil
61%▲11,5pp
Below 5.20%
Vol. $ 31,3 mil
35%▼9,5pp
Below 5.15%
Vol. $ 36,8 mil
30%
Below 5.10%
Vol. $ 36,2 mil
28%▲1pp
Below 5.05%
Vol. $ 33,5 mil
21%▲1pp
Below 5.00%
Vol. $ 35,2 mil
12%▼1pp
Below 4.90%
Vol. $ 24,2 mil
8%▼0,5pp
Below 4.95%
Vol. $ 23,6 mil
7,5%▼0,5pp
Resolves YES if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value on any date from September 3, 2026 to December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).