2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Vol. $ 789,6 milResolução em 18 de abr.
MercadoProbabilidade
J
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
Vol. $ 34,3 mil
96%▼0,1pp
M
Marine Le Pen
Vol. $ 44,5 mil
92%▼1pp
N
Nathalie Arthaud
Vol. $ 10,6 mil
90%▼1,5pp
D
David Lisnard
Vol. $ 39,6 mil
87%▼1,5pp
R
Raphaël Glucksmann
Vol. $ 33,4 mil
86%▲1,5pp
F
Fabien Roussel
Vol. $ 7.876
83%▲2pp
É
Éric Zemmour
Vol. $ 26,7 mil
75%▼10pp
N
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
Vol. $ 4.140
56%▼5,5pp
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.