WWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?예2.2%▼0.2pp아니오97.8%거래 $5만CChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?예4.8%▲0.6pp아니오95.2%거래 $5,477IIran nuclear test before 2027?예3.9%▼0.1pp아니오96%거래 $3,279UUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?December 31, 20262%▼0.3pp거래 $1,589WWill US withdraw from NATO by...?December 312.6%거래 $555WWill Trump visit Greenland by...?December 3110.5%거래 $256WWill Hamas agree to disarm by...?December 31, 202611%거래 $78UUkraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? 예4.9%▲0.6pp아니오95%거래 $58UUS strike on Mexico by...?December 314%거래 $19UUkraine election called by...?December 31, 20264.9%▲0.3pp거래 $13WWhich countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?North Korea7.5%Pakistan4.5%Lebanon1.3%거래 $12HHow many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?857.1%▲3.9pp932.3%▼0.1pp109.5%▼0.4pp거래 $12