마켓

의회

WWhich party will win the Senate in 2026?Democratic Party62.5%Republican Party36.5%▲1pp거래 $8.3만

OOhio enacts data center moratorium by...?December 31, 20264.5%▼1ppJune 30, 202714.5%December 31, 202719.5%거래 $1.4만

WWhich Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?Mike Lee1.8%▼6.7ppRuben Gallego6.1%▼2.3ppThom Tillis9.5%▲3pp거래 $7,031

WWhich bills will become law in 2026?AI-chip export licensing22.5%▼0.5ppFISA Section 702 reauthorization10.5%▼1.5ppFilm/TV production expensing15.7%▼21.1pp거래 $829

HHow many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?10-1295.3%▼2.8pp13-152.8%▲1pp거래 $819

RRepublican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?≤4738.5%4816%▼1.5pp4913%▼0.5pp거래 $797

MMike Johnson out as Speaker by...?October 31, 20265%▼7.5ppDecember 31, 202610.5%▼0.5pp거래 $572

22026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of VictoryDemocrats 8-10%28.5%▼1ppDemocrats 10-12%22.5%Democrats 6-8%17.5%▲0.5pp거래 $500

AAnother US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?Shutdown & Democratic Party90.8%▼0.2ppShutdown & Republican Party9.6%▲0.5pp거래 $454

BBlue tsunami in 2026?예44.5%▲1.5pp아니오55.5%거래 $399

BBlue wave in 2026?예86.5%▲1pp아니오13.5%거래 $219

RRepublicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?예1.7%▲0.3pp아니오98.2%거래 $171