How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in November?
거래 $7,51012월 1일 정산
마켓확률
Below 5.20%
거래 $1,175
5.2%▲1.4pp
Below 4.99%
거래 $284
4.9%▲1pp
Below 5.11%
거래 $381
4.5%▲0.1pp
Below 5.08%
거래 $951
4.5%▲0.5pp
Below 5.02%
거래 $1,228
4.5%▼0.5pp
Below 5.14%
거래 $948
4.5%▼1.5pp
Below 5.05%
거래 $927
4.3%
Below 5.17%
거래 $1,394
3.8%▼0.5pp
Resolves YES if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value on any date from November 3, 2026 to November 30, 2026; deadline 2026-12-01.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 3, 2026 and November 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for the last business day of November 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for the last business day of November 2026 by December 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
