2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
거래 $79만4월 18일 정산
마켓확률
J
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
거래 $3.4만
96%▼0.1pp
M
Marine Le Pen
거래 $4.5만
92%▼1pp
N
Nathalie Arthaud
거래 $1.1만
90%▼1.5pp
D
David Lisnard
거래 $4만
87%▼1.5pp
R
Raphaël Glucksmann
거래 $3.3만
86%▲1.5pp
F
Fabien Roussel
거래 $7,876
83%▲2pp
É
Éric Zemmour
거래 $2.7만
75%▼10pp
N
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
거래 $4,140
56%▼5.5pp
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.