Pasar

Kebijakan Ekonomi

FFed Decision in October?No change83,5%▼1pp25 bps increase15,5%10 pemegangVol $592,7 rb

HHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?0 (0 bps)95,5%1 (25 bps)1,8%Vol $31,8 rb

UUS recession by end of 2026?Ya6,5%Tidak93,5%Vol $6.727

AAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?Ya77,5%Tidak22,5%3 pemegangVol $5.976

WWhat will Fed Rate hit before 2027?↓ 2.75%2,5%↓ 3.0%2,7%▲2pp↑ 5.5%2,3%▼0,5ppVol $4.926

FFed decisions (Sep–Dec)Hike–Pause–Hike66,5%Hike–Pause–Pause20,5%▼1ppHike–Hike–Hike8,5%Vol $1.030

BBank of Japan Decision in October?No change95,5%25 bps increase3,9%▼0,3ppVol $674

UUS GDP growth in Q3 2026?≥3.0%67,5%2.5–3.0%15,5%▼0,5pp2.0–2.5%9%▼1,5ppVol $570

GGermany GDP growth in Q3 2026?1.3%+45,5%▼1pp1.0-1.2%41,5%0.7-0.9%8,5%▼3ppVol $457

FFed rate cut by...?January 2027 Meeting5,5%December 2026 Meeting2,6%▼0,1ppMarch 2027 Meeting16%▼1ppVol $363

EEurozone GDP growth in Q3 20260.8-1.1%56,5%▼4pp1.2-1.5%27%▲3,4pp0.4-0.7%10,2%▼1,2ppVol $208

SSwiss National Bank decision in December?No Change85,5%▲1pp25 bps increase15%▲0,5ppVol $111