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How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?075.5%▼6.5pp117.5%▲3pp25.4%▲1.4ppO
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?December 31, 202615.5%▲2ppDecember 31, 202753.5%F
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?September 30, 202733%▼7.5ppJune 30, 202713.5%▼21.5ppDecember 31, 202766.5%SSkin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?March 31, 202748.5%▼29ppJune 30, 2027?51.5%▼24.5ppAAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?December 31, 202763.5%▼3.5ppDecember 31, 202623.5%▲5ppWWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?No solution by Dec 31, 202732.5%▼1.5ppHodge Conjecture30.5%Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer24.5%▲4.5ppS
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?Chopsticks catch Starship?28%▼2.5ppSuccessful splash down?62.5%▲26ppChopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?47.5%▼3ppW
Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?Beal's Conjecture13%▼4.5ppHadamard Matrix Conjecture18%▼7ppRamsey Number R(5,5)18%▲0.5ppU
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Sí4.5%No95.5%F
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?Sí2.7%▼0.2ppNo97.3%A
Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?December 31, 202741.5%▲1.5ppDecember 31, 202615.5%S
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?Sí23.5%▼3ppNo76.5% 