How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in November?
$7,520 Vol.Se resuelve el 1 dic
MercadoProb.
Below 5.11%
$391 Vol.
5.3%▲1.3pp
Below 5.20%
$1,175 Vol.
5.2%▲1.1pp
Below 5.14%
$948 Vol.
4.9%▼0.5pp
Below 5.17%
$1,394 Vol.
4.8%▲0.7pp
Below 4.99%
$284 Vol.
4.8%▲0.9pp
Below 5.02%
$1,228 Vol.
4.5%▼0.5pp
Below 5.05%
$927 Vol.
3.9%▼1.2pp
Below 5.08%
$951 Vol.
3.6%▼0.1pp
Resolves YES if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value on any date from November 3, 2026 to November 30, 2026; deadline 2026-12-01.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 3, 2026 and November 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for the last business day of November 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for the last business day of November 2026 by December 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
