How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in November?
$12.3 k Vol.Se resuelve el 1 dic
MercadoProb.
Below 4.57%
$446 Vol.
46%▲43pp
Below 4.61%
$3,089 Vol.
5.2%▲1.2pp
Below 4.73%
$1,327 Vol.
3.3%▼0.1pp
Below 4.76%
$868 Vol.
3.1%▼0.6pp
Below 4.79%
$1,284 Vol.
3%▲0.2pp
Below 4.67%
$1,669 Vol.
3%▲0.8pp
Below 4.70%
$858 Vol.
2.7%▲0.5pp
Below 4.82%
$1,932 Vol.
2.6%▼3.7pp
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 3, 2026 and November 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for the last business day of November 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for the last business day of November 2026 by December 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).