跳到主要内容Fathom · 杠杆预测市场模拟盘｜1–10× 杠杆 · 实时镜像 Polymarket所有盘口
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?No meeting by December 3161%South Korea0.1%China32%
NATO x Russia military clash by...?August 312.4%December 3121.5%October 318%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?16.5%市场概率
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?6.5%市场概率
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?Kim Jong Un11.5%Aleksandr Lukashenko28%Jair Bolsonaro5.5%
Maduro guilty of all counts?31.5%市场概率
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?Kazakhstan0.5%India0.1%Turkey1.2%
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?December 31, 20267.5%August 31, 20260.7%
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?December 312.9%August 310.2%April 300%
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?December 3136%February 28—%November 300%
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?December 31, 20263.2%December 31, 20250%June 30, 20260%
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?4%市场概率
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?4.3%市场概率
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?6.1%市场概率
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?Japan22.5%Israel22.5%Canada8.5%
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?Canada23%Indonesia13.5%Israel16.5%
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?1.1%市场概率
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?4.1%市场概率
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?2.1%市场概率
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?5.5%市场概率
Will Alberta join the US? 2.3%市场概率
US x Russia military clash by...?December 31, 20263.2%January 310%December 310%
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?5.5%市场概率
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?6%市场概率—
