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Fathom · 杠杆预测市场模拟盘|1–10× 杠杆 · 实时镜像 Polymarket
所有盘口
24h 热门
总成交量
流动性
最新
即将截止
GPT-6 released by…?
August 31, 2026
7.5%
August 21, 2026
2.1%
September 30, 2026
38.5%
$23.6k Vol
12月31日 截止
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
xAI
8.6%
Meta
2.9%
Microsoft
0.2%
$16.9k Vol
12月31日 截止
OpenAI’s Astra released by…?
August 31
24%
September 15
63%
October 31
86.5%
$14.6k Vol
10月31日 截止
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
60%+
34%
55%+
55%
50%+
81%
$2.7k Vol
12月31日 截止
OpenAI’s Astra Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
60%+
12.5%
50%+
35%
40%+
93%
$1.5k Vol
12月31日 截止
OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
1500+
9%
1510+
8.5%
1480+
69%
$905 Vol
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
December 31, 2026
11%
October 31, 2026
7.5%
March 31, 2026
0%
$533 Vol
12月31日 截止
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
8.5%
市场概率
$360 Vol
12月31日 截止
Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by...?
September 30
58.5%
August 31
32%
$253 Vol
9月30日 截止
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
Glasses
10.5%
Necklace
15%
Earbuds/Headphones
6.5%
$214 Vol
12月31日 截止
ChatGPT Outage by....?
August 31
76%
August 22
42%
$201 Vol
8月31日 截止
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?
October 31
42%
August 31
8%
September 30
52%
$199 Vol
10月31日 截止
Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by...?
August 31
37.5%
October 31
40%
November 30
54.5%
$123 Vol
10月31日 截止
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in August 2026?
4
4%
3
6%
5
12.5%
$96 Vol
8月31日 截止
What will OpenAI's public ticker be?
$OA
19.2%
$OAI
62.5%
$LLM
2.3%
$61 Vol
12月31日 截止
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Anthropic
13.5%
Company H
—%
Company N
—%
$10 Vol
12月31日 截止
ChatGPT Full Outage by August 31?
18%
市场概率
$6 Vol
8月31日 截止
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by...?
October 31
42.5%
August 31
9.5%
November 30
54.5%
$5 Vol
10月31日 截止
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
7.5%
市场概率
$4 Vol
12月31日 截止
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
21.5%
市场概率
$15.5k Vol
12月31日 截止
OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?
24.5%
市场概率
$760 Vol
12月31日 截止
Which week will OpenAI release Astra?
September 21–27
38%
Before August 31
38%
September 14–20
38%
11月1日 截止
1500+
50%
2
Solana Up or Down - August 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
50.5%
3
Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
50.5%
4
Dogecoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
50%
5
Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
50%
6
XRP Up or Down - August 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
50.5%