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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?December 314.5%September 302%April 300%
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?50.3%169%32%
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14August 3110.5%Chopsticks catch Starship?22%September 3093.4%
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?December 31, 20264%December 31, 202768%June 30, 202754%
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?December 31, 202719.5%December 31, 20265.5%
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?October 31, 20268.5%December 31, 202621.5%
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?9%市场概率
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?140-15945.1%120-1395.6%100-1191.5%
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?December 31, 20266.5%December 31, 202735%December 31, 202836%
Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?97.1%市场概率
Human moon landing in 2026?0.8%市场概率
Chopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by...?August 31, 202652%October 31, 202660.5%September 30, 202652%