跳到主要内容Fathom · 杠杆预测市场模拟盘｜1–10× 杠杆 · 实时镜像 Polymarket所有盘口
Putin out as President of Russia by...?December 31, 20267.5%August 31, 20260.7%September 30, 20262.1%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?August 312.6%December 3126.5%October 3111%
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?No meeting by December 3161%South Korea0.1%Japan0.1%
Trump meets with Putin by...?December 3138.5%September 304.5%June 300%
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?December 3153.5%September 3014.5%June 300%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?6.5%市场概率
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?16.5%市场概率
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?Kazakhstan0.5%Russia0.2%Turkey1.1%
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?December 315.5%September 307%December 310%
Russia coup attempt in 2026?6.5%市场概率
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?December 31, 20267.5%August 31, 20260.7%
Russia nuclear test by...?December 31, 20266%March 31, 20260%November 300%Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?1%市场概率
Russia strikes another vessel in Black Sea by...?August 1665.5%August 1251.5%
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?December 31, 20263.2%December 31, 20250%June 30, 20260%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?1.2%市场概率
Ukraine election called by...?August 31, 20261.4%December 31, 202612.5%March 31, 20260%
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?December 312.9%June 300%April 300%
Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?December 31, 20265.5%June 30, 20260%December 31, 20250%
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?December 31, 20267.5%June 30, 20260%December 31, 20250%
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?5.5%市场概率
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? 8.5%市场概率
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?5.5%市场概率
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?4.9%市场概率
