跳到主要内容Fathom · 杠杆预测市场模拟盘|1–10× 杠杆 · 实时镜像 Polymarket所有盘口
Next French Presidential ElectionSégolène Royal0.1%Sarah Knafo1.8%Sébastien Lecornu1.4%
Socialist Party of France Presidential NomineeRaphael Glucksmann48%Segolene Royal5.3%Boris Vallaud22.5%
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?Marine Tondelier26.5%Gabriel Attal31.5%Jérôme Guedj10%
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?Jean-Luc Mélenchon39%Marine Le Pen86.5%Valérie Pécresse0.7%
Macron out by...?December 31, 20264.8%October 31, 20250%June 30, 20260%
Lecornu out as French PM by...?September 30, 20262.6%December 31, 202622%June 30, 20260%
Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?87.5%市场概率
Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?16.5%市场概率
French election called by...?December 31, 20267.5%July 31, 20260%June 30, 20260%
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...?December 313.6%July 310%March 319.5%
National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?89.5%市场概率
France United Left Primary WinnerPlaceholder T—%Placeholder H—%Placeholder M—%
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?30.5%市场概率
Le Pen names non-Bardella PM by...?April 17, 202712.1%December 31, 20265.5%
Next President of the National Rally in 2026?Placeholder 150%Placeholder 850%Placeholder 950%
Marine Le Pen out as Member of the National Assembly by...?July 310%October 312.8%