跳到主要内容Fathom · 杠杆预测市场模拟盘｜1–10× 杠杆 · 实时镜像 Polymarket所有盘口
OpenAI IPO by...?August 31, 20260.2%December 31, 202620.5%September 30, 20261.8%
What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?$2.5T+5.4%$1.75T–$2.0T21%$1.0T–$1.25T15.5%
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?SpaceX60.5%Anthropic38.2%OpenAI0.2%
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap1.5T+42.8%No IPO by December 31, 20279.2%<500B1.1%
GPT-6 released by…?September 30, 202630.5%August 21, 20262.1%August 31, 20266%OpenAI IPO Closing Market CapNo IPO by December 31, 202681%1.5T+3.8%750B–1T4.9%
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?93%市场概率Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?↓$750B28%↑$2.0T10.5%↑$1.5T26%OpenAI’s valuation end of August 2026?$900B-$1.00T37%$800-$900B62.5%$1.20-$1.30T0.1%OpenAI’s valuation end of September 2026?$800-$900B43.5%$700-$800B4.9%$1.30T+0.6%
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?Earbuds/Headphones6.5%Phone3.6%Computer (Laptop/Desktop)1.4%OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?$1.4T44.5%$1.2T60.5%$1.6T40%
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?7.5%市场概率
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?December 31, 202611%October 31, 20267.5%December 31, 20250%
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?21.5%市场概率What will OpenAI's public ticker be?$OAI60%Ticker I—%Ticker G—%
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?17.5%市场概率
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?9%市场概率
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Company V—%Company E—%Company Q—%
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?33.5%市场概率Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?Bank G—%Bank H—%Bank B—%
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?63.3%市场概率OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?8%市场概率
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?93.8%市场概率—
