跳到主要内容Fathom · 杠杆预测市场模拟盘｜1–10× 杠杆 · 实时镜像 Polymarket所有盘口
OpenAI IPO by...?August 31, 20260.2%December 31, 202620.5%September 30, 20261.8%
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?DJI26%YMTC38.5%CATL54%
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?↑$3.0T34.5%↑$1.75T74.5%↓$800B8%
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap1.5T+42.8%No IPO by December 31, 20279.2%<500B1.1%
GPT-6 released by…?September 30, 202630.5%August 21, 20262.1%August 31, 20266%Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Xiaomi30%DeepSeek21.5%ByteDance22%Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap$1.75–$2.0T16.5%$2.75–$3.0T6.6%$2.0–$2.25T16.5%Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)1.8T+67.5%No IPO by December 31, 20273.2%0.9–1.2T3.3%
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?93%市场概率
Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by December 31?↑$300B6.5%↑$250B24%↑$190B94.9%
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?PayPal48.5%Nebius Group5.1%MGM Resorts37.5%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?↓$750B28%↑$2.0T10.5%↑$1.5T26%What will Anthropic's public ticker be?$ANT8.8%$ANTH55.5%Ticker H—%
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?#334.5%#10100%#5100%OpenAI’s valuation end of August 2026?$900B-$1.00T37%$800-$900B62.5%<$600B1.5%
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?↑ 153026.5%↑ 17003.1%↑ 1500100%
JIO Platforms IPO by...?September 3033%December 3135%August 318.2%
Will Claude go down on __ days in August?11-138.6%5-729.6%8-1061.5%
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?82.5%市场概率
Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?Chicago, IL40.5%Las Vegas, NV85%Sacramento, CA52.5%Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?152013.5%15408%15308%OpenAI’s valuation end of September 2026?$800-$900B43.5%$1.10-$1.20T22.3%$700-$800B4.9%
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?Earbuds/Headphones6.5%Phone3.6%Computer (Laptop/Desktop)1.4%OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?$1.4T44.5%$800B89%$1.2T60.5%—
