跳到主要内容Fathom · 杠杆预测市场模拟盘|1–10× 杠杆 · 实时镜像 Polymarket所有盘口
OpenAI IPO by...?August 31, 20260.2%December 31, 202620.5%September 30, 20261.8%
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?Z.ai0.8%Anthropic67.5%xAI9.3%
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap1.5T+42.5%No IPO by December 31, 20278.9%<500B0.9%
GPT-6 released by…?September 30, 202631%August 21, 20262.1%August 31, 20266%
OpenAI’s Astra released by…?September 1553.5%August 3118%September 3073.9%
OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?1490+25.5%1500+10.5%1480+69.5%
Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by...?August 3136.5%September 3056.5%
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?60%+26.5%55%+51.5%50%+82.5%
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?93%市场概率
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?89.5%市场概率
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?↓$750B27%↑$2.0T10.5%↑$1.5T26%
OpenAI’s valuation end of August 2026?$900B-$1.00T37%$800-$900B62.5%$1.00-$1.10T0.3%
OpenAI’s Astra Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?40%+87.5%50%+43.5%60%+13.5%
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in August 2026?<375.5%49%53.2%
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by...?August 318.5%October 3145.5%
OpenAI’s valuation end of September 2026?$800-$900B43.5%$600-$700B0.6%$1.10-$1.20T22.3%
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?Earbuds/Headphones6.5%Computer (Laptop/Desktop)1.4%Phone3.9%
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?$1.4T44.5%$800B89%$1.2T60%
Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by...?August 314.5%October 3137%
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?7.5%市场概率
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?October 3154.5%August 319.5%
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?December 31, 202611%October 31, 20267.5%March 31, 20260%
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?21.5%市场概率
ChatGPT Outage by....?August 2238%August 3177%Counter-Strike: STATE vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Playoffs
Match Winner
65.5%